Hurricane housing market
Q4 2025

Q4 ended the year as the loudest growth quarter on dollar terms. Sales count grew thirty four percent year over year, dollar volume up forty six percent, the median up twelve percent, the average up nine. The quarter's arc told the story: October absorbed the summer shelf at the tightest dollar gap in the year, November brought the high tier back in volume, December closed loud on a year-end push. The combination produced the cleanest quarter of the year for sellers.

The supply story eased through the quarter. Active inventory ended thirty nine percent above last Q4, but the absorption rate finally kept pace with new listings. Time on market dropped twenty percent across the quarter. The pipeline at year end ran twenty two percent above last Q4, which loads January well. For the short read on where your home would price into this, my what is my home worth in Hurricane page is the fastest place to start.

Q4 is the cleanest year-over-year read in this entire dataset. Four of the four headline metrics moved in seller-favorable directions: sales up thirty four percent, volume up forty six, the median up twelve, the average up nine. Time on market dropped twenty percent, and the percent-of-list ratio held at ninety eight. The growth came from absolute volume, not just base effect; this Q4 was the busiest fall in this dataset.

The internal mix moved up. The average climbed faster than the median through November and December, which says the upper tier returned to the table after its summer pause and stayed at the table through year end. The middle of the market never stopped transacting, so the combination produced both volume growth and a richer mix.

For Hurricane buyers, Q4 was the inflection point. The summer's deep shelf gave way to faster absorption, the time on market dropped, and the pricing discipline held. By December, the leverage that defined July and August was meaningfully reduced. Serious buyers who acted in October closed at the tightest dollar gap of the year. Those who waited into December found a shelf that was still deep but moving faster than expected.

The pocket-by-pocket variation widened through the quarter. The high-end pockets like Sand Hollow Resort and Firerock picked up pace through November. Mid-tier pockets like Falcon Ridge and Pecan Valley ran a steadier pace throughout.

Hurricane's Q4 normally trades through three phases: October's busy close, November's pre-holiday slowdown with serious buyers, December's quiet holiday rhythm. The 2025 Q4 followed that template but at louder volume. The snowbirds arrived and started transacting, the retirees finalized year-end moves, and the high-tier vacation-home shoppers returned to the table after the summer pause.

The quarter's count of new contracts is the deepest year-opening setup in this dataset. January closings should land at strong pace, the high-tier transaction rate looks ready to carry into spring, and the shelf has worked down enough to keep absorption matched with supply. If new listings arrive at the same pace they did to open 2025, the spring sets up for a balanced market with strong activity on both sides.

City-wide quarter numbers are not your home. The no-obligation valuation is the calibrated read.

Hurricane is layered. A primary-residence single-family home in Sky Mountain, Dixie Springs, or Cordero trades on a completely different curve than an STR-zoned condo or townhouse at Sand Hollow Resort or in parts of Pecan Valley, and the gap between the two has only widened in the last twelve months. A citywide median averages those two markets together into a number that fits almost no individual home. Real pricing starts at your parcel, comparing recent closings inside your subdivision and your product type, then adjusts for view, lot, and rental rights. The fastest read on where your home likely lands is the what is my home worth in Hurricane page, then a full home valuation turns the band into a calibrated number.

Timing matters more here than in cities without an active STR overlay. If you are deciding between listing now and waiting, the should I sell now or wait calculator runs the math on carry cost against probable appreciation, and the seller net sheet shows what you would actually pocket once the costs you cannot avoid come out. Getting the first list price right in week one is the single biggest lever you control, because the Hurricane buyer pool is more selective than it was a year ago and any overpriced listing quietly trains the market to wait you out.

Hurricane is not one market either. Sand Hollow Resort STR product trades against a national pool of Vrbo and Airbnb investors and underwrites off projected nightly revenue. Sky Ranch, Hurricane Views, Falcon Ridge, and Dixie Springs trade against Wasatch Front buyers on conventional financing. Two homes four hundred yards apart can have completely different rental rights, completely different buyer pools, and completely different price discovery. National algorithms miss this entirely.

That is why the neighborhood lens is the starting point here, not a footnote. Whether your home sits in a Cordero or Firerock primary-residence pocket, on a Sand Hollow Championship Course view lot, or inside a designated STR overlay, the marketing pitch has to match the actual buyer pool for the product type. My full breakdown of every Hurricane area, what it offers, who buys there, the rental rules, and how it tends to price, lives on the Hurricane neighborhoods guide. Start there before you anchor to a single listing.

Most Hurricane sellers are landing somewhere next, and the two halves go far smoother planned as one. If you are scaling up for a Sky Ranch view lot or a Cordero floor plan with more room, my moving up in Hurricane guide covers the sequencing so you are never stuck owning two homes or scrambling with none. If you are unlocking equity and going the other way toward a low-maintenance single level closer to town, the right-sizing in Hurricane page walks through doing it without leaving money on the table.

New construction is genuinely worth a look in either direction, because Hurricane carries more active and entitled lots than any city in the region. Sand Hollow Resort, Cordero, Copper Rock, Firerock, and Peach Springs Estates all run consistent inventory with active builder incentives. My new construction in Hurricane guide breaks down the active communities and the builder bench behind them. When you are ready to list, the full story of how I take a Hurricane home to market lives on my sell your Hurricane home page. Whichever direction you are headed, I can help you line up the sale and the purchase on one calendar.